bill: do you think it is razor tight? do you think it is 50/50, 41-49? >> not quite yet. hillary clinton will get a bounce. we'll get more post-democratic convention polling showing she has substantial lead. when hillary clinton was up five or six points, trump still had one in four shot of winning. one in four shot of winning winning a couple bucks off the scratch-off. not like hitting a jackpot or powerball. if this race is in the single digits you have to keep your eye on it. bill: you mentioned the debates, what do you believe as you analyze this now could decide this race? >> you know, i think that hillary clinton's argument to disqualify trump, she is trying to make the argument, non-idealogical argument that he is unfit to serve. trying to appeal to independents and given a number of controversy. comments about john mccain. comments about the federal judge, paul ryan called textbook definition of a racist attack. latest controversy over the parents with the fallen soldier, captain khan. you go down the list, you they are not idealogical. people for reasons of chara